Showing posts with label Banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Banks. Show all posts

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Obama on Nationalization

As Paul Krugman notes, there are too many narratives for the Obama administration's bank policy. That there is more than one narrative is a sign of confusion and lack of clarity. The obvious plan, to a preponderance of economists, is to put the bad banks into some form of receivership, clean them up, and then sell them back to the public. That the Obama administration doesn't pursue this route is perplexing, especially given the convoluted plan (the Geithner plan) that is being follow instead.

Given a clear and precise path, why doesn't Obama choose it (add your favorite theory here and this is why there are so many narratives)? Obama addressed this question in a speech at Georgetown University:

Now, on the other hand, there have been some who don't dispute that we need to shore up the banking system, but they suggest that we've been too timid in how we go about it. This is essentially the nationalization argument that some of you may have heard.

And the argument says that the federal government should have already preemptively stepped in and taken over major financial institutions the way that the FDIC currently intervenes in smaller banks, and that our failure -- my administration's failure to do so is yet another example of Washington coddling Wall Street.

OBAMA: "Why aren't you tougher on the banks?"

So let me be clear: The reason we have not taken this step has nothing to do with any ideological or political judgment we've made about government involvement in banks. It's certainly not because of any concern we have for the management and shareholders whose actions helped to cause this mess.

Rather, it's because we believe that preemptive government takeovers are likely to end up costing taxpayers even more in the end, and because it's more likely to undermine than create confidence.

Governments should practice the same principle as doctors: First, do no harm. So rest assured, we will do whatever is necessary to get credit flowing again, but we will do so in ways that minimize risks to taxpayers and to the broader economy.

The gist of Obama's argument against nationalization is to save taxpayers money and to avoid systemic risk. The problem is that it isn't bought by some of the big name economists, for good reasons. When you look at successful resolutions to similar economic/banking crisis in other countries, nowhere do you find anything resembling the Geithner plan. So the prominent economists have continued, even escalated, their dissent:

Bring In The Antitrust Division (On Banking) - Simon Johnson at Baseline Scenario

Ruminations on banking - Willem Buiter at FT

Stiglitz Says White House Ties to Wall Street Doom Bank Rescue - Joseph Stiglitz at Bloomberg

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Geithner's Plan

Geithner's Plan to resolve the banking problem is getting not so good reviews: Paul Krugman doesn't like it; Yves Smith doesn't like it; Calculated Risk doesn't like it; but Brad DeLong likes it - somewhat.

Are the banks insolvent or are they having a short term liquidity problem? It seems we need an answer to this question...


Geithner's Faustian bargain: - A guest post by Swedish Lex, this will get you in the right mental framework before reading the other opinions.

Geithner's Toxic Asset Plan: - Calculated Risk gives a very short description of the plan.

Despair over financial policy: - Paul Krugman - "It’s exactly the plan that was widely analyzed — and found wanting — a couple of weeks ago."...

More on the bank plan:
- Paul Krugman - "Why was I so quick to condemn the Geithner plan? Because it’s not new; it’s just another version of an idea that keeps coming up and keeps being refuted. It’s basically a thinly disguised version of the same plan Henry Paulson announced way back in September."...

The Geithner Plan FAQ: - Brad DeLong answers some questions about the Geithner plan in this Q&A style post.

Brad DeLong's defense of Geithner: - Paul Krugman - "Brad gives it the old college try. But he shies away, I think, from the central issue: the non-recourse loans financing 85 percent of the purchases."...

Private Public Partnership Details Emerging: - Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism weighs in against the plan too.

Sunday, March 8, 2009

Bank Nationalization

Alan Blinder at the NYT wrote a piece: "Nationalize? Hey, Not So Fast", that is getting some response from NakedCapitalism and Paul Krugman.

Nationalize? Hey, Not So Fast - Alan Blinder

An Amazingly Disingenuous Piece by Alan Blinder on Bank Nationalization - NakedCapitalism

Anti-Nationalization Arguments - Paul Krugman